From Dry October to Snowy Winter: Unraveling Northeast Weather Patterns

What if the dry autumn days we’re experiencing in the Northeast signal a winter packed with snow? Join me, Steve Pelletier, as I uncover intriguing historical weather patterns that suggest this dry spell might just be the precursor to a snowy season. We’ll explore how high pressure is keeping the skies clear from D.C. to Boston while the rest of the nation faces a mix of weather conditions. From the sun-drenched streets of New York City to the rain-soaked Pacific Northwest, I’ll break down the meteorological movements that are shaping our skies this October.

Anticipate warming temperatures as we approach Halloween, and learn about the potential rainy weekend that could be just around the corner. As nights get frostier and days grow warmer, I provide insights into how these changes might affect your travel plans or the perfect timing for your weekend activities. Whether you’re interested in the likelihood of snow, curious about the weather’s impact on travel, or simply planning for the week ahead, this episode promises to keep you informed and prepared. Tune in to get the full weather scoop as we transition into November, and discover why this October could be setting the stage for a dramatic winter!

Transcript

Speaker 1: 0:00

Hi, this is meteorologist Steve Pelletier and I am the weatherman. Thanks for checking into theweathermanpodcom On your Sunday. It is the 27th day of the month of October, a month that's been very dry. I'm looking at the monthly summary right now for New York City Central Park and they had a little trace of rainfall on the 9th and also the 24th. That was it Just a trace so far, and probably for the remainder of this month it's going to be dry right up until Thursday. As a matter of fact, it's going to be trending even warmer and this is the problem that we have across the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast, and it looks like this very dry pattern will continue at least through Thursday. But we are seeing a possibility of some rainy conditions moving in on Friday and early next weekend and then we may start to see a little change in the weather pattern as the sun is getting lower and lower in the sky, shorter period of daytime, longer period of nighttime. Temperatures change and well, that means that the seasons are changing and we have a better probability of low pressures forming and moving our way. Very tough to get very dry conditions going into late autumn and into the winter's time, but the last time we saw that there have been probably, if we can look back to, about seven different occurrences of very dry September and October in the northeast, the upcoming winter. We saw that 75% of the time the amount of snowfall was actually above normal, with some actually very high, as much as 50 and 60 inches, or about 200 to 300% above the normals for the Northeast. So there is that possibility. But there were two winters when it was just about normal, very little, where there was actually nothing like we have had over the last couple of seasons. But I'm talking about the northeast in particular. Elsewhere in the nation there has been normal amounts of snowfall, for the most part in the northern tier and, of course, just that rainy pattern over the south.

Speaker 1: 1:55

Now our weather situation for this Sunday calls for skies to be generally fair across the northeast corridor From DC up to the Boston area. High pressure is the main feature. It's going to keep us on the cool side 50s to the north, lower 60s to the south of DC, new York City, a high of around 60 degrees. Nighttime temperatures will get down to the frost reading. So even in some of the more built-up areas, a range of about 30 or 35 and possibly the first frost in many locations early on Monday morning. Then from that point starts to warm. High pressure offshore southwest flow temperatures into the 60s on Monday, 70s on Tuesday. On Wednesday and the last day of the month, on Thursday Halloween looks like we'll have dry conditions and mild conditions in the 70s on Wednesday and some places near 80 degrees well above normal on Thursday. The Thanksgiving holiday Temperatures so far the month are about 2.2 degrees above normal. We're going to be a little bit at or slightly below normal for the next couple of days and then above normal towards the end of the month. So it'll probably hold very close to 2 degrees above normal and of course that precip way below since the beginning of September. If you're flying on this Sunday, airline hub weather basically okay.

Speaker 1: 3:04

Most places over the west there are some rains starting to move in to central and northern California, oregon and Washington. There's a series of low pressures moving down out of the Aleutians and out of the North Pacific that will be causing rainy conditions there. So they're getting into their rainy season. Dry in Atlanta, dry in Charlotte. Chicago's looking dry, new York City also dry. A few light rain showers across New England, central and northern New York, up in Vermont, new Hampshire and northern Maine. There will be some rainy weather, maybe some rainy showers across coastal North and South Carolina, but high pressure is the main feature, so no problems.

Speaker 1: 3:36

In Texas, it's dry there. Dry in southern Florida Also dry in the Dakotas and St Louis, as mentioned, dry in San Diego. It's always nice in San Diego, but in LA might be some showers. Better chance of some rain in San Francisco and Palo Alto all the way up to Portland and Seattle. Rainy conditions on your Sunday. I'm your moderator, steve Pelletier, and I am the weatherman. Hope you have a great Sunday. Talk to you first thing early next week, take care.